Is there a service that will send me alert via email or SMS when price touches certain moving average in Forex?

April 5, 2011 by  
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Hi, Im looking for a service That will send me via email or SMS alert to my cell phone, when to price of a forex pair touch / near A Certain Such as Moving average indicator. I want it to do it Without using my computer. Anyone has idea Which site has this function? Thanks. Thanks for info, everybody. Yes, have this function with MT4 EA. However I want to run it Without turn on my computer. Unless I want to host at a host, But Then I Would just put it at my computer for this purpose. Any Other ideas? Thanks.

Options Trading Strategies – Wrong Use of Historical Volatility and Implied Volatility Crossovers

March 5, 2011 by  
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Options Trading Strategies – Wrong Use of Historical Volatility and Implied Volatility Crossovers

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Home Page > Finance > Investing > Options Trading Strategies – Wrong Use of Historical Volatility and Implied Volatility Crossovers

Options Trading Strategies – Wrong Use of Historical Volatility and Implied Volatility Crossovers

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Posted: Jun 27, 2009 | Views: 257 |

Not all volatilities are constructed equal.   It is critical to differentiate between Historical Volatility and Implied Volatility, so retail traders learn how to trade options focused on what is material to theoretically price option spreads forward. Historical Volatility (HV) measures past price movements of the underlying asset recording the asset’s actual or realized volatility.   The more commonly known type of HV is Statistical Volatility, which computes the underlying assets return over a finite but adjustable number of days.   Let me explain what “finite but adjustable” means.   You can vary the number of days to measure the Statistical Volatility: for example, 5-10-50-200 days, that’s how time-based moving averages and momentum/oscillator studies are built.   Though, it is not the case with Implied Volatility. Implied Volatility measures expected values by repetitively refining bid-ask estimates.   These estimates are based on the expectations of buyers and sellers. The buyers and sellers (85+% of floor traded volume is driven by institutions, floor traders and market makers) behind the bid and ask values, who do change their estimates within the day, as new information be it macro-economic news or micro-economic data impacting the underlying product becomes available.   What is being estimated is the underlying asset’s future fluctuation with certain assumptions embedded into the changes in information of the underlying.   That refinement of bid-ask estimates must be completed within finite time-bound option expiration periods. That’s why there are monthly and quarterly option expiration cycles. You cannot change these expiration periods, either by shortening or lengthening the number of days, to “construct” a time period that gives you faster or slower crossover indicators. Why point out the wrong use of Historical Volatility and Implied Volatiity Crossovers? It is to caution you against the defective use of  HV-IV crossovers, which is not a reliable trading signal.   Remember, for a given expiration month, there can only be one volatility over that specific period.   Implied Volatility must leave from where it is currently trading at, to converge at zero on expiration date. Implied Volatility (be it IV for ITM, ATM or OTM strikes) must return to zero on expiry; but, price can go anywhere (up, down or stay flat). To continually sell “overpriced” and buy “under priced” options would eventually cause the implied volatility of every single non-zero bid option to line up exactly.   Meaning the phenomenon of IV’s “smiling” skew disappears, as IV becomes perfectly flat. This hardly happens, especially in highly liquid products. Take for example, the SPY, a broad-based Index; or, GLD – the SPDR Shares ETF in a fast market like Gold. With open interest at the non-zero bid strikes going into the thousands and tens of thousands, do you really think a retail off the floor trader is going to be allowed to “out price” the professional hedger on the floor?  Unlikely. Calls and Puts in highly liquid products, are like items in an inventory with high supply because there is high demand.   This type of inventory does not get “mispriced” because floor traders have to make a daily living from trading the Calls and Puts –they will refuse to carry the risk of mispricing overnight. So, what are the key considerations to banking in your edge as a retail trader? IV’s percentage impact on an option’s extrinsic value is much more sizeable for ATM and OTM strikes, versus ITM strikes which are laden with intrinsic value but lack extrinsic value.   Most retail option traders with an account size USD $25-$50K (or less), gravitate towards ATM and OTM strikes for reasons of affordability. The deeper the ITM you go, the wider the Bid-Ask spread becomes compared to the narrower Bid-Ask spread differences in the ATM or OTM strikes, making ITM strikes more costly to trade. When you trade IV, you are buying time decay for a rise in IV at a % point below; or, selling time premium for a drop in IV at a % point above the theoretical price of market value, that participants are willing to pay or sell for.   Depending on the market ranges of that day, price debit spreads to get filled at 0. 10-0. 15 below the Theoretical Price of the spread.   With credit spreads, raise the credit to sell the spread by 0. 10-0. 15 above the Theoretical Price of the spread.   The price you pay below; or, receive above the Theoretical Price of a spread is your edge, purely based on price-performance of Implied Volatility alone. Remember, you Theoretically Price a spread to fill the order for its forward value, never backward. Where can I learn how to trade options with consistent profits focused on Implied Volatility without Historical Volatility? Follow the link below, entitled “Consistent Results” to see a model retail option trader’s portfolio that excludes the use of HV and focuses on trading only IV. I’ll cite these actual historical events, to bolster the argument for removing Historical Volatility from your trading process altogether. 27 Feb, 2007: Widespread Panic from the sizeable China sell-off in equities. If you were trading the options of an index like the FXI which is the iShares product of China’s 25 largest and most liquid Chinese companies though listed in the US; but they are headquartered in China, you would have been impacted. While you can argue it’s possible to have market events recreate the ranges of the Dow, Nasdaq & S&P, how do you recreate the scenario of the VIX and VXN soaring 59% and 39%?22Jan, 2008: Fed cuts rates by 75 basis points prior to the scheduled policy meeting on Jan 30th, whereby the FOMC cut another 50 basis points on the date of the meeting.   If you were trading interest-rate sensitive sectors using the options on a Financial ETF or a Banking Index like the BKX; or, the Housing Index like the HGX, you would have been impacted. And in the current environment of rates being near zero, the FOMC while they still have a rate policy tool, they are unable to cut rates by the same number of basis points like before. What was a historical event is not successively repeatable going forward, not until rates are raised again and subsequently they get cut again. Question: How do you reconstruct history?  That is the history of events forming Historical Volatility.   The answer is in the real examples cited, as with any other financially related historical event – you cannot reconstruct history. You may be able to mimic parts of HV but you cannot repeat it in its entirety.   So, if you continue using HV-IV crossovers, you visually confuse yourself by searching for volatility “mispricing” patterns that you would like to see; but, you will end up with poor profit performance instead.   It makes more practical trading sense to focus purely on IV; then, diversify the trading of volatilities across multiple asset classes beyond equities. Where can I learn more about trading IV across multiple asset classes using only options, without having to own stock? Follow the link below (video-based course), that uses IV Mean Reversion/Mean Repulsion and IV Forecasting, as reliable methods to trade the implied volatilities across broad-based Equity Indexes, Commodity ETFs, Currency ETFs and Emerging Market ETFs.

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Clinton Lee –
About the Author:Please see Consistent Results http://www. homeoptionstrading. com/consistent_results/.
Here’s the summary for month-end July 2009 . . .
❑ Return: Profit/Start of Year Cash Balance = UP +115%! That’s +16. 43% Return per Month!
❑ Win/Loss Probability = 90. 20%. 9 Wins per 1 Loss. Average Win/Average Loss = $3. 66 Won per $1 Loss.
❑ Performance Ratio = (Win/Loss Probability) x (Average Win/Average Loss) = 90. 20% x $3. 66 = 3. 30.
❑ Positive Expectancy = $1,316 per trade.

Preview an original 55 hour video-based course for online options trading from home, at http://www. homeoptionstrading. com/original_curriculum. html
Purchase the curriculum and receive a $800 options basic course as a Bonus!

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Hi, Im looking for historical and implied volatility data on commodity options and was wondering if you know of any free websites that provide this info?
I am having more clients who are interesting to invest money in private placement program in INDIA. Please suggest me the best option for bullet trading. Dr. V. B. Rao Dasari drvbraodasari@gmail. com
What is the best approach to use forex signal in forex trading? Is this driven by fundamental aspect of trading?

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Please see http://www consistent results. homeoptionstrading. com / consistent_results /. Here? est? summary of month-end July 2009. . .????? Return: Income / Starting cash balance = 115% UP! That is 16. 43% Return per month !????? Win / Loss Probability = 90. 20%. 9 wins by a p? Loss. Average Win / Loss M = $ 3. 66 won by the p? Loss of $ 1 .????? Performance Ratio = (Win / probability of p? Loss) x (Win Media / P? Average loss) = 90. 20% x $ 3. 66 = 3. 30 .????? Positive expectation = 1,316 d? Dollars per OPERATION? N.Vista after an original course of 55 hours of v? Deo based on options trading in l? Line from home, at http://www. homeoptionstrading. com / original_curriculum. htmlCompra curriculum and receive a $ 800 course options b? musician as a bonus!

Online Currency Trading – a Simple Way to Build Huge Profits

March 5, 2011 by  
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Online Currency Trading – a Simple Way to Build Huge Profits

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Online Currency Trading – a Simple Way to Build Huge Profits

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Posted: Jun 22, 2007 |Comments: 0
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If you want to engage in online currency trading then your aim is to make big profits – you have to risk more so the only reason to trade is to make more big gains. Most currency traders fail to do this as they don’t understand risk and reward, so here we are going to show you a simple method anyone can use to make huge forex profits.

First accept this

If you want to make money you have risk it!

The bigger the risk the bigger the reward -risk though is not just related to the market traded but also the traders strategy.

While it may appear that you are risking more with the online currency trading strategy oulined below, you are actually taking calculated risks and trading the odds and this actually increases your chance of winning.

So let’s look at how to do this.

1. Trade only the big trends.

Check a forex chart and look for the really big trends, the ones that produce the profits of $10,000 – 30,000 or more and you will notice:

They only come around a few times per year.

With this forex trading strategy, these are the trades you are going to focus on.

If you like the adrenalin rush of trading and simply trade for excitement, take up an extreme sport and don’t read any further, this method is designed to make money only.

2. How to spot the mega trends

Most forex traders don’t realize that the biggest trends of the year start form new market highs – NOT market lows.

This means that you need to look out for important valid breaks of resistance or support.

We don’t have enough room to discuss breakout methodology in detail – simply check our other articles but we will discuss one fact in relation to them.

Why Most Traders Can’t Buy Breakouts

Most traders fail to buy a breakout because they are obsessed with buying low and selling high, however the way to make money is to buy high and sell higher.

When a currency breaks to the upside, they wait for the pullback but in the really big trends, prices don’t pullback.

They then sit and watch the trade disappear over the horizon.

You need to have the mindset that if the break occurs you go with it. Sure, you have missed the first bit of profit but history shows there is normally plenty more to follow.

3. Trading the odds

You shouldn’t just buy a breakout – you should check that price momentum is accelerating to increase the odds of success. For this you need some momentum indicators and two great ones are the stochastic and RSI – There easy to use and very effective.

4. The hard bit!

The hard bit comes next, that’s having the courage to accept the huge gain the market is going to give you.

Most people simply can’t do this. They get obsessed with taking a profit as the profit develops, their not used to big profits and can’t accept them.

When normal volatility causes pullbacks in the trend they panic and bank early, better to have a small profit than none at all.

What happens next?

The trade powers on making thousands, or tens of thousands of dollars and their not in but they could be, if they had courage to accept drawdown in open equity as normal market behavour, which it is.

Placing a stop on a breakout is easy ( under the breakout point ) holding the trend longer term is the hard part and having the confidence to accept dips in open equity, while focusing on the bigger prize.

In terms of other ways of making money in online currency trading the above idees are not commonly accepted, but don’t let that bother you most traders lose!

Eyes on the prize

If you think about the above, you are only trading the best trends, you are confirming entry to increase the odds of success and risk is low.

Finally, it is the ability to accept the risk of dips in open equity and focus on the longer term that will help you make extraordinary gains in the forex markets.

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On all aspects of becoming a profitable trader including features, downloads and some critical FREE Trader PDF’s and more FREE Forex Education visit our website at http://www. net-planet. org/index. html

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Why is currency trading better than stock trading?I find thousands of stocks out to trade but you never know the perfomance in any one given time
What are the technical analysis of currency trading
How can we register Forex trading company in india. ? Is there any law for Online Forex Trading Business in Indian Govt. ?

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The forex market being the largest market in the world is also the most lucrative one too. Almost anyone can become a trader and make big money in this line, provided they are determined enough, and take enough efforts to get themselves well acquainted with the finer nuances of the trading process. Just as in the case with other streams of life, it won’t be a misnomer to say that the internet has also drastically changed the very face of the forex trading process.

By:
Scott Martinl

Internet>
Internet Marketingl
Feb 20, 2011

Using Currency Forex Online Trading Software – Is it the Right Currency Trading Strategy?

Forex or foreign exchange market is one of the most alluring and volatile trade markets in the whole world. With daily transactions exceeding $3. 2 trillion, Forex market boasts of being the globe’s most liquid and largest market. Many people have made a fortune by investing their money in this market through good currency Forex online trading software; that too in a short period of time.

By:
Allisson Woodl

Finance>
Currency Tradingl
Apr 23, 2009

How not to lose in Online Currency Forex Trading

If you want to earn money fast without burdening your bank accounts too much and like to take charge of your investment yourself, then, online currency trading is the right place to go. The foreign exchange (forex) is the largest financial market in the world and though there are certain dangers since currency trading is rather difficult to master, the opportunities it offers to really make substantial amounts of profits are simply too great to pass up.

By:
Kc Yapl

Finance>
Currency Tradingl
Nov 12, 2010

Fear of Trading – What destroys even a good Day Trader with a great Online Forex Currency Trading System or Strategy that works very well

There is a common trait shared amongst all professional day traders about what made them successful traders. They all had to overcome the fear of trading before they became successful traders. Unless new traders can overcome the fear of trading or losing money while trading in their mind, trading success can become an unfulfilled dream very quickly. Fear is one of the strongest emotions possessed by human beings. It can even affect a good day trader with a great online trading system.

By:
Edward Kingstonl

Finance>
Day Tradingl
Oct 09, 2009
lViews: 199

Online Forex Trading: Forex Trading Software – Be On Your Way To Becoming a Hotshot Forex Trader

Online Forex Trading: Read on to know more about the Forex market and how Forex trading software can make your online Forex currency trading process smoother and simpler…

By:
ForexAutoMoneysl

Finance>
Currency Tradingl
Feb 22, 2011

Forex Tips – How to Make A Triple Digit Income Trading Currencies!

Here we will look at some Forex tips which you can use, to get on the road to making a great second income, trading currencies from home. Successful trading can be learned by anyone, so read on and follow the tips and you will soon be enjoying currency trading success.

By:
Samuel Leslie Berkovitsl

Finance>
Currency Tradingl
Dec 26, 2010

Let’s Talk About the Causes of Inflation

What are some of the causes of inflation? That depends on who you ask and what day it is. Everyone has an answer to the question and no two answers are alike. Researchers and analysts have been studying and writing reports on this topic for 100 years. So let’s look at what some of the main causes of inflation are and some of the major concerns.

By:
jiml

Finance>
Investingl
Mar 05, 2011

Keeping Up With Inflation Forecast in 2011

At the start of 2011, numerous reports and studies surface on inflation. A new inflation forecast in 2011 was previously been released and has many consumers and businesses concerned. Inflation is always a concern; but now with the crises in the Middle East, inflation forecasts for 2011 are changing on a daily basis. Just how high prices will rise seem to be of major concern to people all over.

By:
jiml

Finance>
Investingl
Mar 05, 2011

Make Money From Stock Market: What Is The Combination To The Stock Market Safe?

In this article I explore how to Make Money From Stock Market. In particular I examine specific mehods to make money with stock market investing.

By:
Darius Canel

Finance>
Investingl
Mar 05, 2011

How pensions are funded

How pensions are funded and the risks associated with various funding models: Two models are discussed: Pay As You Go in which every generation funds the one before when they retire, and Save For Yourself, in which every generation saves for its own pension. The article then looks at the risk burden and who carries it: ‘Defined Benefits’ in which the insurer accepts the risk, and ‘Defined Contributions’ in which the public assumes the risk.

By:
guyarivl

Finance>
Investingl
Mar 05, 2011

Importance of financial advisor in investment decisions

Making an investment is not simply overheads your money on something. It is overheads your money on something with the intent of you can earn from. The money with the intent of you deposit in an investment may well be something with the intent of you be inflicted with worked so tricky pro ended the years and you cannot afford to solely lose it. You be inflicted with to contract on to guaranteed with the intent of your investment is release.

By:
Imran Sarwarl

Finance>
Investingl
Mar 05, 2011

“Finding Best Penny Stocks Lists”

Have you been considering investing in stocks lately, but are unsure where to start? If you want to start small or you don’t have a lot to invest, then Penny Stocks may be a good place to begin. You can make lots of money in penny stocks if you learn to identify them when you see them and you make wise investments

By:
robert blandl

Finance>
Investingl
Mar 05, 2011

Invest In Stocks And Shares: How To Follow The Path To The Golden City?

In this article I examine how to Invest In Stocks And Shares. In particular I look at the attributes that are needed to be successful in the stock investing domain.

By:
Darius Canel

Finance>
Investingl
Mar 05, 2011

Learn How To Invest In The Stock Market: The Ticket To A Wealthy Future

In this article I examine how to Learn How To Invest In The Stock Market? In particular I examine what separates a successful investor from one who falls short.

By:
Darius Canel

Finance>
Investingl
Mar 05, 2011

Hard Penis Naturally – Herbs for Increased Libido and Harder Erections!

In this article, we will look at some supplements that are natural and will get you a harder erection and also increase your libido and overall levels of wellness at the same time. These herbs can all be found in the best natural erection pills – so let’s take a look at how they work.

By:
Sacha Tarkovskyl

Relationships>
Sexualityl
Jan 27, 2011

Fast Acting Natural Sex Pills – Increase Libido and Get Harder Erections That Last Longer!

If you want to improve sexual wellness, the best natural fast acting sex pills will not only get you a harder erection just like man made drugs, they will also increase your libido and give you better overall health which prescription drugs can’t do. Lets take a look at the herbs these pills contain and how they work.

By:
Sacha Tarkovskyl

Relationships>
Sexualityl
May 25, 2010
lViews: 353

Natural Remedies To Cure Impotence – Proven Herbs That Work Fast!

If you are looking for natural remedies for impotence the good news is – the proven combination of herbs in this article,will work safely and naturally to get you a hard erection, increase your sex drive and enhance your overall level of wellness, all at the same time. Let’s take a look at the herbs and how they work.

By:
Sacha Tarkovskyl

Health>
Men’s Healthl
Apr 20, 2010
lViews: 282

Facelift Costs – the Secret of Reducing the Cost by 70% Instantly!

Many people would love to have a facelift ( Rhytidectomy) but cannot afford the cost of around $10 – 15,000, however informed patients are getting face lift costs reduced to as little $3,000!

How are they doing it? The answer is quite simple they. . . .

By:
Sacha Tarkovskyl

News and Society>
Women’s Issuesl
Aug 11, 2007
lViews: 1,164

Breast Enlargement – Get a Womanly Sexy Look at a Cost That May Well Suprise You!

Breasts are one the major identity features of the women and all women are concerned about this area and many want a breast enlargement operation.

Until now many have been put off by the cost, but the cost of breast enlargement has recently fallen dramatically in price.

This article is all about getting the operation of your dreams at a cost that may well surprise you.

By:
Sacha Tarkovskyl

News and Society>
Women’s Issuesl
Aug 11, 2007
lViews: 2,137
lComments: 1

Liposuction Costs – Why you Should Consider India to Get the Look you Desire

Tummy Tuck or abdominoplasty, Liposuction of fat deposits has become hugely popular as an instant way of improving physical appearance.

Many patients are however put off by the high prices in Europe and the US and are traveling to India to get the same treatment at vastly reduced cost of 60% are more!

By:
Sacha Tarkovskyl

News and Society>
Women’s Issuesl
Aug 11, 2007
lViews: 1,113
lComments: 1

Arthritis – Cure it Now at a Cost That May Surprise You!

Arthritis is a debilitating disease that causes severe physical pain and emotional turmoil for millions of people who suffer with it.

Many do nothing about it, simply because they feel the cost of joint replacement surgery is too high. . .

By:
Sacha Tarkovskyl

Health>
Diseases and Conditionsl
Aug 11, 2007
lViews: 708

Overseas Property Investment – Choosing the Best Destinations

When looking at overseas property you need to first be careful in the country you pick to invest in and you also need to be careful in terms of location. Let’s look at some points to consider and a great destination, recently voted one of the top ten in the world.

By:
Sacha Tarkovskyl

Finance>
Real Estatel
Jul 23, 2007
lViews: 570

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